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Re: Fukushima disaster level raised to level 7 (like chernobil)

Posted: 13 Apr 2011, 06:47
by MidKnight
SpliFF wrote:Japan, like all nations, has enough potential solar, wind and tidal energy to live comfortably. Like other nations though it took the cheap approach, accepted industry assurances of safety, and left the problems for a future generation.

Modern Japan is that future generation. They will suffer the effects of this for generations - as the radiation released accumulates through the food chain and spreads through tidal and other natural forces.

If you look at history, what happened after Chernobyl, you'll see that rather than deal with the reality of the harm, nations willed it away by increasing the allowable levels of radiation in food.

That's right, they simply changed the meaning of "safe" in the interests of protecting European trade.

The problem with this whole discussion is everyone is throwing out statistics as if they have any meaning. They don't! Radiation is not something that spreads evenly and consistently. It will form pockets and concentrations. Different people will have different health effects based on age, general heath, type of radiation, amount of radiation, location of particles, genetic disposition, etc.

Nobody has "all the data" and even those who do cannot be trusted. There's a pretty high likelihood that anybody taking the time and expense to collect data has an agenda of some sort.

The only safe way forward is renewables, and that means people have to learn to switch off mainstream news and goverment "information" and dig deeper into whose interests the nuclear and fossil fuel industries really serve. They need to realise that commercial tv, print and radio (especially "talk-back") serve hidden agendas more important to them than public safety.

Nuclear power is not the solution to global warming, the solution is to make better sacrifices. Use less power. Ban neon, hallogen and phosphorescence lighting. Increase adoption of LED lighting. Reduce air and sea travel. Replace fossil fuels with hydrogen based power. Reduce packaging. Buy less of everything.

None of these things are really as taxing as they sound. They increase costs and reduce luxuries - but generally only in the short term. People need to learn to live with that and stop bitching about the economy like it's the only thing that matters in life.

To put it bluntly I'd rather be "poor" than unhealthy. It seems like most Western people have the opposite view (more than 50% of people I see now are visibly overweight). I learnt to live with "less" a long time ago. I realised it didn't require difficult sacrifices, just smarter choices.

If Japan want to learn from this they'll reduce their dependency on power in general and nuclear power in particular. Tokyo doesn't need to be lit up like a fucking Christmas tree 24-hours a day. I suspect these rolling blackouts will teach them how to be frugal and one day their power efficiency will put us all to shame.
People are more willing to risk occasional catastrophic disasters than they are to sacrifice small, enjoyable aspects of their daily lives or change the way they do particular things.

If people had the kind of mindset, insight, and willpower your ideas require, businesses like McDonald's wouldn't even exist. It can even be said that the reason for the existence of the capitalist system is that most people don't have that kind of drive.

PS: Hydrogen based energy? What?

Re: Fukushima disaster level raised to level 7 (like chernobil)

Posted: 13 Apr 2011, 07:00
by SpliFF
fc14159 wrote:Let's face it. Fission is occasionally dangerous.
Sorry to split hairs but I would argue it's constantly dangerous. It just happens that that constant danger manifests in occasional "disasters". "Accidents" on the other hand are fairly common.
fc14159 wrote:If people are going to complain about nuclear power, they better be prepared to lower their energy usage. To many, this means lowering their standard of living. And that simply isn't happening.
Hear hear. Though I would like to say that the cost to standard of living can be far less than most people realise. I've personally found that reducing consumption actually increased my standard of living. Here's why:

* My biggest 'sacrifice' was my car. However without the car my income skyrocketed. I was no longer paying for insurance, maintenance and fuel. I moved closer to work to avoid public transport. At first I rode my bike, then I moved even closer so I'm in the same street. I got back about 2 hours of free time I used to lose commuting. Also, without a car I'm never bothered by requests to help people move house or be designated driver at parties.

* My second biggest sacrifice was fast and packaged food. I realised I was paying exorbitant amounts for stuff that barely qualifies as "food". I signed up with a farm co-op that home-delivers fresh meat, dairy and and fruit/veg much cheaper than supermarkets.

* My third was alcohol. Well in fact I increased my consumption and reduced my expense simultaneously by home-brewing beer and cider. Tastes better too (the cider is smooth like scrumpy, not that fizzy shit like Strongbow).

Yes these options aren't available or practical for everybody. I'm just saying that increasing prices and reducing consumption does not automatically mean you are 'sacrificing'.

@MidKnight: Hydrogen is just an example of an alternate fuel. I see nothing fundamentally wrong with it. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lJVzySk0Pks

Re: Fukushima disaster level raised to level 7 (like chernobil)

Posted: 13 Apr 2011, 07:44
by SwiftSpear
SpliFF wrote:@MidKnight: Hydrogen is just an example of an alternate fuel. I see nothing fundamentally wrong with it. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lJVzySk0Pks
It costs more electricity to create an energy unit of hydrogen than it does to pull and energy unit of oil out of the ground. Electric is more efficient, because you don't have the inefficient step of pulling hydrogen out of water via electrolysis. If we had limitless electricity hydrogen would be fine, otherwise, it's a high expense fuel.

Re: Fukushima disaster level raised to level 7 (like chernobil)

Posted: 13 Apr 2011, 07:55
by SpliFF
SwiftSpear wrote:It costs more electricity to create an energy unit of hydrogen than it does to pull and energy unit of oil out of the ground.
I don't think that has been disputed, however logically the cost of "pulling oil out of the ground" should include the cost of the military operations being spent to control and defend that oil. It should also include the massive profit skimming by oil monopolies and the costs of the environmental damage and cleanup. As the amount of oil diminishes the cost goes up. It's very hard to monopolise solar, wind or tidal energy. The key question is - If oil is so efficient why do tax-payers keep subsidising it?
SwiftSpear wrote:Electric is more efficient, because you don't have the inefficient step of pulling hydrogen out of water via electrolysis. If we had limitless electricity hydrogen would be fine, otherwise, it's a high expense fuel.
Well technically we do have limitless electricity potential (from the Sun and the Moon). What we lack is the commercial and social momentum to harness a more significant fraction of it via less destructive technologies. The key to doing that is to stop spreading the myth that doing so would bankrupt everyone.

Re: Fukushima disaster level raised to level 7 (like chernobil)

Posted: 13 Apr 2011, 08:17
by Cheesecan
SwiftSpear wrote: Irregardless, none of this is relevant to the Fukushima plant, as it's not a modern nuclear plant either way. It's 40 years old.
http://irregardless.org/
HeavyLancer wrote:As for the earthquake/tsunami, have you read about Onagawa? That plant is a much more recent BWR that was also much closer to the epicentre of the quake. You know what happened to it? It shut down correctly. A fire broke out in the turbine hall, but they put it out quickly. This is why countries need to build new nuclear power plants - they are much safer than the 1970s-era relic that is Fukushima Daiichi.
Nuclear power still makes sense for Japan - more than any other power source in fact. Why? Because Japan has little natural resources and a huge population on a relatively small landmass. They are faced with two options - import natural gas, or use nuclear power. Nuclear power is safer, and the events in Japan recently have only affirmed this.
And you know what else? The Japanese government chose to extend operating time on the Fukushima-1 reactor by another ten years earlier this year. It was originally intended to be taken out of operation before the catastrophe happened. This despite some analysts pointing out that the plant had severe problems. This shows how reckless their government is - and why they should not be building more nuclear power.

Their nuclear companies (including Tepco) have a bad track record of hiding incidents from both the government. This is because their society is mob-driven, many big politicians in Japan have ties to the yakuza who bribe politicians to do their bidding. Not as transparent as western democracies. For instance their prime minister still visits their WW2 "shrine" every year to celebrate the memory of their transgressions.

Now if as you claim nuclear fuel is safer than alternative fuels, how about installing a nuclear power plant in your backyard? How about we dispose the spent fuel in your pool? Didn't think so.

The fact of the matter is that Japan is living beyond their means(as are many other OECD countries) and there is no way in hell that such a highly populated tiny island should be littered with nuclear plants like today. It's one thing to build a plant in freaking Ukraine where you have one cottage per square mile and where there are no earthquakes. But it's something entirely different to build plants in the region of the planet that has the most earthquakes per year.

Imagine how many nuclear plants could be shut down if companies were fined for keeping their lights on at night when nobody is there working. Turning off those computers that nobody is using. There has yet to be any serious kind of resolve to fix the energy issue, despite all these halfassed protocols, the goals set by big nations are still low.

Re: Fukushima disaster level raised to level 7 (like chernobil)

Posted: 13 Apr 2011, 08:31
by Gota
Oh give me a break green peace activists/slogan picketers...
There is no "green" technology that can sustain humanity's energy needs.
Dont bullshit me about solar panels or wind gens or wave energy...its all hogwash and has, at least with current technology, no chance of covering our energy expenditures.

Nuclear power is where its at and the fact some dated nuclear plant is melting after a SCALE 9! earthquake and tsunami does not make nuclear plants a bad choice all of a sudden.

Re: Fukushima disaster level raised to level 7 (like chernobil)

Posted: 13 Apr 2011, 09:19
by Hobo Joe
The amount of mis-information and fear-mongering around the nuclear situation in Japan is staggering, and a lot of people (I see Spring is no exception...) are taking this as a call to arms to end nuclear power forever. This is incredibly short sighted and ignorant.


First of all, it is ABSOLUTELY NOTHING LIKE CHERNOBYL! I can't stress this enough. Any comparison to Chernobyl only proves how completely ignorant of the situation that the person espousing that idea is. The design of the reactor is massively different, and it's physically impossible to have a catastrophic explosion event that is anything like Chernobyl. The incident at Chernobyl was the result of bad design, incompetence, and very bad luck. When the incident happened they were doing testing of the equipment to see how well it could transition from producing no power to producing max power near-instantaneously, and as this test was not expected to have bad results it wasn't cleared by any of the overseeing engineers, and was only run by the plant technicians. In the process of doing this testing, they shut off several of the safeguards that were normally in place. More heat was produced than expected, and the backup generators that powered the cooling could not keep up with the heat produced by the reactor, and this resulted in a breach which blew open the containment unit dropped the reactor core into water which resulted in a massive steam explosion that ripped the building apart and left radioactive material burning and dispersing a huge quantity of radioactive material into the atmosphere.

Now, at Fukushima for reasons I don't feel like typing out (I can link to sources with more information, if you don't believe me), this CANNOT HAPPEN. Can bad things happen? Yes. Can it have a complete failure? Yes. Can it result in a Chernobyl like fallout? NO. Any fear of a disastrous failure of containment(Which even if it happened, would be not even remotely close to the scale of Chernobyl) have long ago dissipated as the situation is completely under control now. There was huge media-reaction to this event freaking about radiation and buzzwords like meltdown, which has resulted in a totally uninformed backlash by the public.

At the moment of the earthquake, the plants automated shutdown initiated perfectly, the reaction was shut off, and all that was left over was residual heat production that can continue ~1 week after the reaction stops. The backup cooling systems all worked fine, until the tsunami breached the flood walls and washed away the backup generators. The battery backups continued to work until they ran out of power after about 8 hours. By that time limited personel were able to make it to plant to keep the situation well enough under control(though there were a variety of complications). There was a long series of unfortunate events, while the media continued to scream radiation, without bothering to mention any numbers or comparison to normal/dangerous levels. There was only a very small time period during the entire disaster where the radiation levels directly outside of the plant were at even somewhat dangerous levels, and even the workers who were there all day every day for the whole period were never under dangerous levels of radiation. Two workers were hospitalized for a short period as a precautionary method, but were quickly released when their radiation levels were found to be within safe limits.

The only radiation that leaked was through controlled venting, and it was particles all with a short half-life, primarily iodine, which decays in hours, a couple days at most.


So, lets review this shall we. A 40 year old plant, very near the end of its life, survives an earthquake that is 1 in 1000 years, 7 times higher than it was rated for, then withstands a tsunami bigger than anything ever seen in Japan. Initial automatic safety mechanisms work perfectly, the reaction is shut down. Primary backup cooling systems work until washed away by the tsunami shortly after the earthquake, and then secondary backup systems work perfectly until their power is depleted. It withstands all this without a single casualty, no catastrophic failure, and only extremely insignificant amounts of radiation released, all which will disperse extremely quickly (all you people freaking about radiation in the food chain - stop it. Either take my word for it or research it yourself, but it is not even REMOTELY as serious as "OMG RADIATION" media would have you believe.)


In 40 years, massive advancements have been made on several fronts. Cost, efficiency, safety, and even much more significant advances, particularly thorium reactors. They produce significantly less waste, shorter-lived waste, they cannot be weaponized, and their fuel is extremely abundant and inexpensive.



Now, lets compare this to coal. First of all, coal is extremely dangerous from the mining till the burning, and both to people and to the environment. Have a look at this:

Image

Unbeknown to most, burning coal actually produces A LOT of radiation, and it's actually much more dangerous than radiation produced by most other means, because it is in residual particles. First of all, fire makes radiation, it's just a simple by-product of the release of energy. Normally an insignificant amount, but when you take into consideration the astronomical amounts that are burned for energy production it starts to add up. But more importantly, burning coal releases particles of several radioactive materials, including uranium, thorium, and arsenic, all of which have very LONG half-lifes and will be sitting around for thousands of years, continuing to be radioactive. Now, seeing as how these particles are small and dispersed you might say this isn't dangerous, however they accumulate in many ways and can create localized pockets of radiation that becomes dangerous in the long-term, particularly; the human body.

Coal mining is really dangerous. It kills a lot of people, from direct accidents or more slow-death means such as black lung. It's extremely destructive to the environment, besides chopping gigantic holes up and down the earth, it completely destroys ecosystems all over the world and creates huge blights that won't go away for a very, VERY long time. On top of all that, it's a non-renewable resource. There's a fuck-ton of it on the planet, yes, but the more we take, the harder it is to get at (more dangerous, more expensive, worse for the environment), and it's not like there's more growing somewhere.



A lot of people have mentioned renewable energy such as solar or wind or hydro. While these are all fantastic sources of energy, they're also VERY expensive and very low-yield, none of them are even near a point where they could replace more than a couple percentiles of US energy production without multiplying cost in a big, big way. I hope this technology continues, and I look forward to a day when all our energy production is non-destructive and renewable, but simply put we aren't at that point yet, we need an intermediate solution, and that's nuclear.

Nuclear power plants are really expensive, but they're also very high-yield, safe, and have relatively low operating costs compared to coal. And they're mostly non-destructive, you don't have to rip up the planet to get the small quantities of uranium or thorium needed. In the case of uranium, it requires very expensive and difficult enrichment processes, but that is still a far preferable solution to coal. This isn't required for thorium. Reactor designs get smaller, safer, and cheaper every year, in the history of nuclear power there has been one disaster, and it's all that was needed to teach everyone how potentially dangerous it can be, and more importantly, how to remove the possibility of such an incident ever happening again. It's virtually impossible to have a catastrophic failure that would breach containment in any modern reactor design, the amount of design improvements and safeguards and preventive measures taken is extremely thorough.



Yes, this is a massive post, but I consider this a very important issue and I do not want the world to shun nuclear power because of a media scare, when it's SO much safer and cheaper and less harmless than the primary power source that is coal. Radiation is scary to people because they don't understand it, I encourage everyone who has a lot of doubts about nuclear to do some research. Confirming everything I said in this post could be done in a couple hours of research, and there is a vast wealth of information out there for you look up, and when you research it you'll realize that OMG RADIATION isn't as serious as you thought before, and that you can take a calm and informed view rather than riding the fear-mongering train.



So, please please PLEASE research how nuclear power works before spreading a bunch of fear-mongering.


Cheesecan wrote: And you know what else? The Japanese government chose to extend operating time on the Fukushima-1 reactor by another ten years earlier this year. It was originally intended to be taken out of operation before the catastrophe happened. This despite some analysts pointing out that the plant had severe problems. This shows how reckless their government is - and why they should not be building more nuclear power.

Their nuclear companies (including Tepco) have a bad track record of hiding incidents from both the government. This is because their society is mob-driven, many big politicians in Japan have ties to the yakuza who bribe politicians to do their bidding. Not as transparent as western democracies. For instance their prime minister still visits their WW2 "shrine" every year to celebrate the memory of their transgressions.
This is not a failing of nuclear power, but of administration. Is it bad to keep a very outdated and depriciated nuclear plant running? Yes. Does that mean nuclear power is bad?

I'm just going to let you answer that because the answer is obvious.


Nobody is saying the situation in Japan was perfectly fine and problem-free, but people like yourself are placing the blame in the completely wrong places and using it as an opportunity to spread uninformed fear-mongering bullshit.


TEPCO has a history of falsified upkeep and repair reports, as well as general sloppyness and bad administration. They need to be replaced or nationalized, but this NOT a reason to stop nuclear power. Dishonestly like what they displayed would be despicable in ANY field, but the difference is that if it were any other field the blame would be placed on right thing, that being the offenders, and not the field itself.




You mention spent fuel, and I think you need to look into that as well. There are lots of very thorough and safe plans for the storage of nuclear waste until such a time that we develop the means to get rid of it or use it safely.


You also mention saving power. Saving power is great, we should all turn of our lights and not suck extra power. Is that a solution to a power generation problem? FUCK. NO. That's a pathetic excuse used by people who have a totally unrealistic outlook and don't know how to come up with a decent solution. the simple fact is, the entire world, even places where there wasn't before, there is a huge rising demand for energy. How is this demand going to be met? If you think turning off lights is going to make that demand go away you're retarded, more countries are going to need more plants and we can't just scrape that out of the planet in the form of coal forever, especially considering the massive effects it has on the environment, and renewable solutions are not even NEAR viable.

Re: Fukushima disaster level raised to level 7 (like chernobil)

Posted: 13 Apr 2011, 09:39
by Wombat
btw, coz of all u pussies scared of nuclear energy oil will be even more expensive, hurray?

Re: Fukushima disaster level raised to level 7 (like chernobil)

Posted: 13 Apr 2011, 09:43
by HeavyLancer
Yay! It's wall of text time again!
SpliFF wrote:Japan, like all nations, has enough potential solar, wind and tidal energy to live comfortably. Like other nations though it took the cheap approach, accepted industry assurances of safety, and left the problems for a future generation.
If you bought up a country like Australia you would have a legitimate point. Unfortunately for you, the numbers aren't so good for Japan. It's a nightmare scenario for running a country on renewables. In Australia we have expanses of land for solar - which is nice until nightfall. Ultimately we need something else to rely on during that period. That's where nuclear comes in.
Nobody has "all the data" and even those who do cannot be trusted. There's a pretty high likelihood that anybody taking the time and expense to collect data has an agenda of some sort.
I dunno. Science has been doing a pretty good job of that for the last 300 years. Saying that 'there's no truth, only people lying to take advantage of you' is an absolute philosophical cop-out.
The only safe way forward is renewables, and that means people have to learn to switch off mainstream news and goverment "information" and dig deeper into whose interests the nuclear and fossil fuel industries really serve. They need to realise that commercial tv, print and radio (especially "talk-back") serve hidden agendas more important to them than public safety.
That's right! The man is keeping us all bummed out and drugged with that flouride in the water! Fight the power!
To put it bluntly I'd rather be "poor" than unhealthy. It seems like most Western people have the opposite view (more than 50% of people I see now are visibly overweight). I learnt to live with "less" a long time ago. I realised it didn't require difficult sacrifices, just smarter choices.

If Japan want to learn from this they'll reduce their dependency on power in general and nuclear power in particular. Tokyo doesn't need to be lit up like a fucking Christmas tree 24-hours a day. I suspect these rolling blackouts will teach them how to be frugal and one day their power efficiency will put us all to shame.
So, you would rather force people to conform to your 'frugal' energy needs? How would you enforce that? With a secret police? How long will it be until some of those 'overweight Western people' who enjoy the benefits of a modern society call for you head on a titanium platter?

I'm not judging you on your choices. If you want to be efficient, fine. Just don't go forcing it on other people. It just makes you look like a dick.
SpliFF wrote:It's very hard to monopolise solar, wind or tidal energy. The key question is - If oil is so efficient why do tax-payers keep subsidising it?
Absolutely - I detest fossil fuel subsidies too. Also, why are we subsidising solar panels through rebate schemes for home-owners in Australia? Surely if the technology works and is cheap then they need no such subsidy!
What we lack is the commercial and social momentum to harness a more significant fraction of it via less destructive technologies. The key to doing that is to stop spreading the myth that doing so would bankrupt everyone.
There is no myth. It's financial fact. If renewables were so cheap and disruptive to the energy market then why aren't more people using them? Is it because coal and nuclear power stations are cheaper to run? Is it because of subsidies? Read up on some facts:
http://bravenewclimate.com/renewable-limits/

Nuclear is one such 'less-destructive' technology. France converted 75% of it's electricity supply to nuclear power in less than 15 years. That's not good for the oil industry at all - quite a lot of their power was from oil-fired generators before that time. Think of all the lost profits for Big Oil! Guess how much space the entire nuclear waste of France takes up? Less than the size of a soccer field. All of it. How's that for waste?
Of course, how will you dispose of the wind turbines and solar panels when you are done with them? There's some nasty chemicals used to make them - and unlike radioactive waste, they stay around forever.
Cheesecan wrote:Now if as you claim nuclear fuel is safer than alternative fuels, how about installing a nuclear power plant in your backyard? How about we dispose the spent fuel in your pool? Didn't think so.
Would it surprise you if I said yes? Because I actually would like to have a nice modern nuclear power plant built in my backyard.
Never mind that it probably isn't the optimal place to put one, or that the Australian Government won't let me, or that the Greens would kick up a fuss, or that I don't have the money to build and operate one.
If you remove all of those barriers, I would happily have one in my backyard. Of course, putting the spent fuel in my pool is an absurd concept - I don't have a pool, silly!

As for 'living beyond our means' and all of that, how positively Malthusian of you both. We'd have no progress if we listen to the pessimists saying "Why bother? We're all going to run out of food/space in [insert arbitrary time period here]!". It's pathetic. The one thing that history has taught us is that humans, we amazing little creatures, have adapted and overcome every obstacle that we come across. We will come up with solutions. The solutions may offend your beliefs (spare a thought for the flat-earthers and creationists who have come before you) but they will solve the problems.

Of course, I'm just some corporate shill for the nuclear power industry. Who cares about facts any more? It's all about opinions. What's your opinion? Let me tell you mine!
The one problem I do have with Western society is that we rely too much on 'gut feelings' and opinion instead of concrete evidence. I'm not in a position to change that, and I wouldn't want to be either. I'll just keep on looking objectively at evidence.

Re: Fukushima disaster level raised to level 7 (like chernobil)

Posted: 13 Apr 2011, 09:50
by hoijui
@spliff +1

@hobo_joe +0.5

Re: Fukushima disaster level raised to level 7 (like chernobil)

Posted: 13 Apr 2011, 09:58
by AF
May I also add a few points on renewables:

Solar

Expensive, innefficient, and problematic. Only generates power during the day, and requires caches/batteries to store power during the night for a consistent supply. Many solar cells rely on rare earth metals that are already in short supply too.

Those solar cell technologies that rely on printable dye based technologies, are in short supply, and their production is heavily maxed out. They're more innefficient again, and they could not power things on their own, they're intended to supplement, to reduce power costs, not absorb them entirely.

There just isn't enough space on the planet to power us all with solar cells, and space based cells are horrendously expensive.

Wind

Recent studies of the wind generation capacity in the UK say that the average and peak outputs of wind based power sources have been overestimated, and that they could generate 24% not 30% of their generation capacity. On top of this, their output during peak usage times was an average of 3-4%.

Wind is expensive, and intermittent, it generates power yes, but not as much as we'd hoped. It ahs generated more money for media and green credentials, than it has for the power grid.

Tidal

Aside from a Norwegian place, all I'm seeing are continuous reports at great cost citing the potential places around country xyz declaring Tidal to be a huge untapped resource. Sure it'd be nice if the millions of pounds spent on reports and flashy media adverts were actually spent on tidal energy itself, but this technology is unproven, and experimental.

I give it all the best of luck, but to claim it as a saviour is foolish when we don't even have a consensus on how to actually implement it.



For the foreseeable future, Nuclear is the only option. Gas is dwindling and coming up against political issues. Oil is rising in price, and coal is subject to the sharade that is carbon capture, which is being thrown about as the saviour of the coal industry, but never actually implemented. Nuclear is absurdly safe, yet nobody bothers to look at this, and instead look at the ageing reactor in fukushima ignorant of the facts.

Re: Fukushima disaster level raised to level 7 (like chernobil)

Posted: 13 Apr 2011, 10:14
by Gota
Al gore should make a movie about nuclear power plants.

Re: Fukushima disaster level raised to level 7 (like chernobil)

Posted: 13 Apr 2011, 10:28
by SwiftSpear
SpliFF wrote:
SwiftSpear wrote:It costs more electricity to create an energy unit of hydrogen than it does to pull and energy unit of oil out of the ground.
I don't think that has been disputed, however logically the cost of "pulling oil out of the ground" should include the cost of the military operations being spent to control and defend that oil. It should also include the massive profit skimming by oil monopolies and the costs of the environmental damage and cleanup. As the amount of oil diminishes the cost goes up. It's very hard to monopolise solar, wind or tidal energy. The key question is - If oil is so efficient why do tax-payers keep subsidising it?
The issue is, you literally cannot just get hydrogen and burn it. The only way to get hydrogen, is to run electricity through water, which causes the hydrogen and oxygen molecules to separate, which then gives you the hydrogen. Then, when you burn the hydrogen, at best, you get something like 60% of that energy back. If you use the hydrogen to do something cool, like power the hydrogen equivalent of a diesel generator, you get something like 10% of the energy you put into getting the hydrogen back out of the generator. Batteries are made of crappy dangerous stuff, but you get a really really high amount of the electricity you put into them back out, at least compared to hydrogen.

Don't take this the wrong way, I like hydrogen, it's really cool stuff, there aren't too many things on earth that are better for making rockets fly around, and when we can't use oils any more, hydrogen will be that stuff you can toss into your vehicle and make it run on 10 seconds notice, where as electric powered cars, at best, will have hour long charge up times (or swapped out batteries, but it's hard to say where battery technology will be). Hydrogen has a huge amount of energy potential packed into a small and very light amount of space, Hydrogen will always be environmentally awesome, and reasonably safe, and if you're hydrogen car flies off a cliff (assuming cars in the future can't fly yet), then as long as there aren't any animals or trees in the way when it explodes, it won't do any further damage.

The thing is "why does the oil industry subsidize oil if it's so good for energy" is not an argument for hydrogen. In order to get enough hydrogen to make 100 joules of energy, you literally need to invest at least 140 joules. If you have an electric powered something, and you have 140 joules, why not just put that energy into that electric powered something? Why use hydrogen at all.

Oil is ridiculous. You can make billion dollar drills to get a couple thousand tonnes of the stuff out of the ground, and it's literally worth absurd multipliers worth more energy than it took to generate that original billion dollar investment. People pull oil out of the earth because it works. Oil is more cost efficient than solar wind or tidal. The only renewable energy source that beats it out is hydro dams, and those have their own problems. Hydrogen isn't worth mentioning as an alternative global power source, hydrogen is at best a fuel alternative, it cannot take any steps towards solving the energy crisis.

The biggest problem in the world today, is that we need to use less energy than we do right now, and we need to get more of the energy we do use from not oil. You cannot use hydrogen and use less energy. If we use hydrogen we have to instantly use 40% more energy than we use right now, just to get it out of water. And that's not even calculating the cost of having to convert vehicles and all the other things that run on oil into a different standard.

Solar, wind, and tidal energy takes alot of investment to initiate, alot of investment to maintain, and doesn't have a very high energy output per a unit of energy put into the system (the materials used to make the windmills in your wind farm have to be pulled out of the ground, processed, shaped into whatever they need to be shaped into, and assembled on site, your average wind farm is something like 100 times more stuff than a skyscraper to build). It's not horrendous, but it's not efficient either.

Oil is less efficient than it once was, but it's still far far far far more efficient than renewable (with the exception of hydro). Nuclear, at least right now, is about as efficient as oil, but you need to make large nuclear plants to make the initial investment worth it, and you need highly trained people to run them, the stuff they run on can be used as the most heinous weapon known to man, the stuff they produce is the most dangerous molecular substance known to man, but they don't pollute (at least the same way fossil fuels do).

Basically, as it stands, it's a lose lose situation no matter where you go with today's technology. We need an out. We need a better option. Hydrogen might be part of the solution, but it certainly is no solution in itself. I'm much more excited about advances in nuclear technology. It's looking like safe, clean and cheap nuclear fission may be possible if thorium is used instead of uranium. Like I said before, Bill gates is working on a method of burning spent nuclear waste to produce energy. His process is apparently pollution free. I don't particularly like the idea of fusion if fission technology can be made less volatile, because with fusion you're almost always dealing with something that can blow a hole in the earth bigger than the power plant you built on top of it, but there have been some breakthrough's with fusion technology as well. There's advances in renewable energies too, solar panels are constantly getting cheaper and more efficient, windmills too. Tidal generators are very young in their life cycle, but there's some designs that are kind of interesting and potentially profitable. Geothermal is hard to predict or control, but it's possible someone could make it work. There's options out there, it's not hopeless, but basically, unless our technological level increases, we're screwed. It's not an issue of ideology, it's an issue of what is realistically possible.
Cheesecan wrote:
SwiftSpear wrote: Irregardless, none of this is relevant to the Fukushima plant, as it's not a modern nuclear plant either way. It's 40 years old.
http://irregardless.org/
I'm a linguist. I neither believe in the prestige of standard language, nor do I fear language change. In-fact it excites me. Irregardless is an intensifier of regardless, and I love to use it to strengthen a proposal.

Re: Fukushima disaster level raised to level 7 (like chernobil)

Posted: 13 Apr 2011, 10:46
by Gota
What we need is to kill a big chunk of the world's population, like 60% and stop population growth.
Need a big war or some nasty horrible plague or a major natural disaster.

Re: Fukushima disaster level raised to level 7 (like chernobil)

Posted: 13 Apr 2011, 10:53
by hoijui
Gota wrote:What we need is to kill a big chunk of the world's population
Hitler wanted to do that, but The Jews were among the first to protest against it!!! now live with it, it is your peoples fault!
Then again, if you want to make up for it, you can still join neo-nazis and fight for a better world.

Re: Fukushima disaster level raised to level 7 (like chernobil)

Posted: 13 Apr 2011, 11:00
by Wombat
:}

Re: Fukushima disaster level raised to level 7 (like chernobil)

Posted: 13 Apr 2011, 11:27
by SpliFF
HeavyLancer wrote:In Australia we have expanses of land for solar - which is nice until nightfall. Ultimately we need something else to rely on during that period. That's where nuclear comes in.
...or tidal, or geothermal, or wind or something new. Nuclear may be practical in the short term but I believe it should be treated as an emergency stop-gap, not "I want cheaper power, build me more nukes".
Saying that 'there's no truth, only people lying to take advantage of you' is an absolute philosophical cop-out.
I said nobody has all the 'data'. "All the data" would require sampling every cubic millimeter of air, water and soil the leaves the plant. Anything less is an approximation and generalisation. The people doing the lying are TESCO, Jap Government and nuclear industry in general.
That's right! The man is keeping us all bummed out and drugged with that flouride in the water! Fight the power!
No, the man is just selling out the public to private interests. People are dumb and docile enough without flouride.
I'm not judging you on your choices. If you want to be efficient, fine. Just don't go forcing it on other people. It just makes you look like a dick.
So being a selfish pig is honourable now, and curtailing selfishness is "being a dick" ? Reign in that sense of entitlement Caesar!
Also, why are we subsidising solar panels through rebate schemes for home-owners in Australia? Surely if the technology works and is cheap then they need no such subsidy!
because emerging markets have higher overheads. They don't stay "emerging" forever. The technology is old (solar power was invented more than 80 years ago) but the consumer need wasn't there (because the true costs and limits of fossil fuels weren't widely understood).
If renewables were so cheap and disruptive to the energy market then why aren't more people using them? Is it because coal and nuclear power stations are cheaper to run? Is it because of subsidies?
Yes and yes. But the reasons are more down to social inertia than scientific principle. If we had been running on renewables for centuries it would be just as difficult to switch to oil.
Interesting, it'll take some time to go through it.
I'll just keep on looking objectively at evidence.
Well the evidence is that nuclear power plants sometimes have disasters even after officials and experts they say they can't. On the other hand there is no evidence about future energy needs and renewable technologies that doesn't rely on assumptions that our consumption will increase.

I think I'm being asked to choose between cancer and conservation. It seems an easy choice to me and at least I can say I've tried conservation and found it to be less dire than people always claim.

Re: Fukushima disaster level raised to level 7 (like chernobil)

Posted: 13 Apr 2011, 12:32
by Coresair
Fission is a very safe form of energy generation as far as I am concerned.....People look at an obsolete plant getting hit by a freaking 9.0 (when is the last time there was a quake that powerful!?) earthquake and tsunami, then they see the harmful side effects. The japanese also did not handle this as they should, I really do not think it is the form on energy generations fault, its the people who ran it.....

Re: Fukushima disaster level raised to level 7 (like chernobil)

Posted: 13 Apr 2011, 13:02
by Johannes
It's kinda hard to run a nuclear plant without people though

Re: Fukushima disaster level raised to level 7 (like chernobil)

Posted: 13 Apr 2011, 13:07
by HeavyLancer
SpliFF wrote:In Australia we have expanses of land for solar - which is nice until nightfall. Ultimately we need something else to rely on during that period. That's where nuclear comes in.
...or tidal, or geothermal, or wind or something new. Nuclear may be practical in the short term but I believe it should be treated as an emergency stop-gap, not "I want cheaper power, build me more nukes".
OK. Geothermal has by nature a limited capacity. It's good stuff when you have it available, but you can only build so much. It isn't enough to cover all of our (by our, I mean Australia - sorry eurofags and amerifags) baseload needs.
Wind is intermittent and will be until we can find a storage method that can take erratic power inputs and store it in a cost-effective manner. Not saying that it's impossible, just hard to do. Just look at the figures - wind power in disparate parts of Australia don't 'fill in' for each other, they act like one big wind turbine:
http://windfarmperformance.info/
Tidal is a bit of a doozy, it's in a similar situation to new dams - look at the Severn plan in the UK. Huge potential environmental impact to the surrounding wetlands because of the reduced tide heights.

Current estimates by the power industry say that we can go up to about 30% intermittent renewables (wind, solar) without having to make big investments in the grid itself. That's from power engineers.
We could maybe push it to 50% if we had pumped hydro and nuclear power (pumped hydro needs stable, consistent power sources to keep up the hydraulic head) to balance it out.
So being a selfish pig is honourable now, and curtailing selfishness is "being a dick" ? Reign in that sense of entitlement Caesar!
That gave me a good laugh. Keep the irony flowing thick and fast! :lol:
because emerging markets have higher overheads. They don't stay "emerging" forever. The technology is old (solar power was invented more than 80 years ago) but the consumer need wasn't there (because the true costs and limits of fossil fuels weren't widely understood).
Solar and wind have been emerging markets for at least 30 years. If they were competitive they should be working fine on their own by now - look at how much R&D has been sunk into them.
Yes and yes. But the reasons are more down to social inertia than scientific principle. If we had been running on renewables for centuries it would be just as difficult to switch to oil.
The funny thing is, we were. Wind mills ground wheat into flour, water wheels powered the factories of the early Industrial Revolution, horses carried people around (fed using renewable biomass!). What happened? Economics happened, that's what.
Well the evidence is that nuclear power plants sometimes have disasters even after officials and experts they say they can't. On the other hand there is no evidence about future energy needs and renewable technologies that doesn't rely on assumptions that our consumption will increase.
It's not a matter of whether disasters happen or not, it's how we mitigate them. Fukushima has been a colossal fuck-up for TEPCO, yes. But it doesn't teach us that nuclear power is bad. It teaches us that Japan's nuclear industry needs more transparency and that a 40-year old reactor can still do quite well despite a scenario that was worse than the designers envisioned could hit the reactor.
It also teaches us that the media are scum that engage in pointless and damaging hyperbole in order to get viewers instead of actually reading up on science. They could look at the bigger picture, but they're still stuck in 'China Syndrome mode' when it comes to nuclear power.
I think I'm being asked to choose between cancer and conservation
I thought so too, until I started examining all of the options. I have worked with renewable energy, I know of its limits.
I think that everything but fossil fuels has a place in our future energy mix. The easiest way to do this is to allow every low-carbon option to compete with each other in a level market, and see what happens. The issue is that some people want to stay blinkered about some of the options, at the expense of a potential future where we don't need to sacrifice all of our western lifestyle and still remain responsible stewards for our planet.